Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Was Belichick Right?

There has been a plethora of pundits writing and talking about the ill-fated decision to go run an offensive play instead of punt on 4th and 2 by New England Patriot coach Bill Belichick last weekend. In terms of decision-making, it looks as if Belichick made a correct probabilistic decision, but the end result was bad (h/t to Brooks my Sports Econ student).

Here are greater details on how this is determined from Advanced NFL Stats.

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