2009-2010 NHL Goalie Ranking

In April 2010, the Journal of Sports Economics published a paper written by Dave Berri and myself that focused on the evaluation of NHL goalies - abstract. The paper makes the claim that there is not much difference between a perceived "elite" NHL goalies and an average NHL goalie. Yet, GM's pay "elite" NHL goalies much more than they pay an average NHL goalie. So using the model in the paper - and assuming that the absolute value of the marginal impact of goal against on one standing point is that same as during the time period used in the paper. Here is the press release.

Our metric we use to evaluate NHL goalie performance is the number of wins the goalie produces above the league average. In order to calculate this, we first calculate for the league the average save percentage - which is the total number of saves divided by the total number of shots against during that time period, which is the entire 2009-2010 season. Second we subtract this league average save percentage from each NHL goalies actual save percentage for the 2009-2010 season, which I call the NHL goalies save percentage difference. Third, we multiply the NHL goalies save percentage difference by the number of shots the goalie faced during the season, and finally multiply that number by the absolute value of the marginal impact of a goal against adjusting for wins. We come up with the following numbers below.

Player	Team	WAA		Sv%
Ryan Miller	BUF	5.5764		0.929
Tomas Vokoun	FLA	4.2642		0.925
Tuukka Rask	BOS	3.7539		0.931
Jimmy Howard	DET	3.5570		0.924
Evgeni Nabokov	SJS	3.4498		0.922
Henrik Lundqvist	NYR	3.1051		0.921
Ilya Bryzgalov	PHX	2.7763		0.92
Jaroslav Halak	MTL	2.7732		0.924
Miikka Kiprusoff	CGY	2.7093		0.92
Jonas Hiller	ANA	2.0110		0.918
Craig Anderson	COL	1.8717		0.917
Martin Brodeur	NJD	1.5140		0.916
Ty Conklin	STL	1.2015		0.921
Jason LaBarbera	PHX	1.1918		0.928
Cam Ward	CAR	0.9287		0.916
Johan Hedberg	ATL	0.8067		0.915
Mike Brodeur	OTT	0.7279		0.966
Jonathan Bernier	LAK	0.6695		0.957
Tim Thomas	BOS	0.6694		0.915
Anton Khudobin	MIN	0.5026		0.979
Roberto Luongo	VAN	0.4503		0.913
Chris Mason	STL	0.4247		0.913
Marty Turco	DAL	0.3721		0.913
Yann Danis	NJD	0.3651		0.923
Peter Budaj	COL	0.3470		0.917
Carey Price	MTL	0.2130		0.912
Michal Neuvirth	WSH	0.1806		0.914
Antti Niemi	CHI	0.1623		0.912
Chad Johnson	NYR	0.1509		0.919
Thomas Greiss	SJS	0.0622		0.912
Scott Clemmensen	FLA	0.0420		0.912
Cory Schneider	VAN	0.0363		0.915
Alexander Pechurski	PIT	0.0237		0.923
Johan Backlund	PHI	0.0200		0.917
Corey Crawford	CHI	0.0163		0.914
Kari Lehtonen	DAL	0.0086		0.911
Andrew Raycroft	VAN	-0.0210		0.911
Pekka Rinne	NSH	-0.0410		0.911
Matt Zaba	NYR	-0.0895		0.875
Jeremy Duchesne	PHI	-0.0995		0.75
Jhonas Enroth	BUF	-0.1106		0.892
Jose Theodore	WSH	-0.1598		0.911
Erik Ersberg	LAK	-0.1908		0.906
Semyon Varlamov	WSH	-0.1991		0.909
Dustin Tokarski	TBL	-0.2437		0.813
Nikolai Khabibulin	EDM	-0.2443		0.909
Justin Peters	CAR	-0.2492		0.905
Matt Climie	DAL	-0.2511		0.868
Patrick Lalime	BUF	-0.2573		0.907
Dan Ellis	NSH	-0.2709		0.909
Wade Dubielewicz	MIN	-0.3059		0.853
Rick Dipietro	NYI	-0.3339		0.9
Alexander Salak	FLA	-0.3780		0.85
Manny Legace	CAR	-0.4466		0.907
Brent Johnson	PIT	-0.4622		0.906
Joey MacDonald	TOR	-0.4734		0.892
Brian Elliott	OTT	-0.5625		0.909
John Curry	PIT	-0.5796		0.643
Antero Niittymaki	TBL	-0.5925		0.909
Jean-Sebastien Giguere	ANA, TOR	-0.6969		0.907
Ray Emery	PHI	-0.6977		0.905
Curtis McElhinney	CGY, ANA	-0.7085		0.902
Josh Harding	MIN	-0.7092		0.905
Michael Leighton	CAR, PHI	-0.8068		0.905
Mathieu Garon	CBJ	-1.0594		0.903
Ondrej Pavelec	ATL	-1.0714		0.906
Dwayne Roloson	NYI	-1.0832		0.907
Steve Valiquette	NYR	-1.1787		0.852
Jonathan Quick	LAK	-1.3905		0.907
Brian Boucher	PHI	-1.4452		0.899
Alex Auld	DAL, NYR	-1.5229		0.895
Jonas Gustavsson	TOR	-1.5908		0.902
Marc-Andre Fleury	PIT	-1.6609		0.905
Devan Dubnyk	EDM	-1.9471		0.889
Martin Biron	NYI	-1.9711		0.896
Niklas Backstrom	MIN	-2.0345		0.903
Chris Osgood	DET	-2.0392		0.888
Mike Smith	TBL	-2.1019		0.9
Steve Mason	CBJ	-2.5182		0.901
Jeff Deslauriers	EDM	-2.5186		0.901
Cristobal Huet	CHI	-2.7614		0.895
Pascal Leclaire	OTT	-3.0943		0.887
Vesa Toskala	TOR, CGY	-3.7649		0.88